Golden Globe Preview and Predictions
January 14, 2012 in Golden GlobesIt’s that time of year again for the Golden Globes. Don’t forget to enter our contest.
We are now in the awkward position of defending the HFPA as being the last major awards group that gave Best Picture to The Social Network before it hit the Producers Guild. The opposite scenario happened the year prior when Avatar won the Globe before The Hurt Locker won the Producers Guild and and on and on it went. This year, most are expecting The Artist to win everything, so naturally that means it should clean up in the Globes (it only has to win in Comedy, which is like Tiger Woods playing miniature golf). We still don’t know if the year will offer up surprises or if it will go as planned. The trick is not minding. I did thoroughly enjoy this slate piece In Praise of the Golden Globes. It really is true that, despite the complaining people do about the Globes, their choices tend to fare better over time. This year, there are no bad films in the lineup in the drama category – so it feels like a win/win – if it’s The Descendants, how great would that be? If it’s Moneyball or Hugo? How can anyone complain? With those nominees they really can’t go wrong. I am predicting Hugo to win but the majority over at Gold Derby are predicting The Descendants.
We’re not quite at the point where everything screeches to a halt. That part is still to come when the Producers Guild give you a better idea of where the race might be headed. The Globes, I’ve come to find, is a celebration onto itself. It can be a test run for Oscar, just as the Critics Choice was, to see whether the win felt right to you or whether it felt really wrong. For instance, it was just plain bad timing for the BFCAs to show that Scorsese clip, feel the love of that director in the room and then watch him lose the Critics Choice to poor Hazanavicius who had to take the stage nonetheless. The same sort of thing happened when Kathryn Bigelow was doing the impossible by winning everything but then we had to watch her lose at the Globes to Jim Cameron. That was a wrong that needed to be fixed. I don’t expect the same scenario to play out with the Artist — obviously that is your clear running horse at the moment. It isn’t quite lighting the box office the same way The King’s Speech did. The Artist’s biggest problem is that people don’t want to see it. But the awards race should mostly turn that around. If it keeps up this way, though, box office actually might be a part of the discussion for the first time in a while. If The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo is nominated for Best Picture (we still don’t yet know how that last-minute surprise will play out) The Artist will have to beat two Best Picture nominees with killer box office; Dragon Tattoo is zooming towards $100 mil with no signs of slowing down and The Help went all the way to $165 mil. At a time when American box office is in deep shit this might be a point of consideration. But we’re not quite there yet. We’re still back here at the Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs miniature golf fairway.
So let’s go through it, shall we?
Best Picture
The Descendants
The Help
Hugo
The Ides
Moneyball
War Horse
It seems crazy anything should win here except The Descendants. As you all know, I’m an inclined towards Hugo, as I feel it is a masterpiece that goes beyond what any of the other films do. The Descendants is a great one too. I am torn. I think it will be The Descendants, but since everyone is predicting that already I might as well make it interesting for myself, stuck here in my cage as I am, and predict Hugo to win it.
General Consensus: The Descendants
Sasha’s prediction: Hugo
Best Picture Comedy or Musical
50/50
The Artist
Bridesmaids
Midnight
My Week with Marilyn
Prediction and General Consensus: The Artist
Best Director
Woody Allen, Midnight In Paris
George Clooney, The Ides of March
Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
Alexander Payne, The Descendants
Martin Scorsese, Hugo
Over at Gold Derby the directors are in a tight race between Martin Scorsese and Michel Hazanavicius. I have to think that Hazanavicius has it sewn up but how do you not vote for Marty? At any rate:
General Consensus: Split down the middle
Sasha’s prediction: Martin Scorsese, Hugo
Best Actress, Drama
Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs
Viola Davis, The Help
Rooney Mara, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
Tilda Swinton, We Need to Talk About Kevin
Right now, except for Pete Hammond, Peter Travers and myself it’s Meryl Streep by a long way.
General Consensus: Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
Sasha’s prediction: Viola Davis, The Help
Best Actor, Drama
George Clooney, The Descendants
Leonardo DiCaprio, J Edgar
Michael Fassbender, Shame
Ryan Gosling, The Ides of March
Brad Pitt, Moneyball
General Consensus and Sasha’s Prediction: George Clooney, The Descendants
I had a feeling Brad Pitt was going to take it but I just don’t see how they won’t reward George.
Jodie Foster, Carnage
Charlize Theron, Young Adult
Kristen Wiig, Bridesmaids
Michelle Williams, My Week With Marilyn
Kate Winslet, Carnage
General Consensus and Sasha’s Prediction: Michelle Williams, My Week with Marilyn (not a comedy but however you want to roll, Weinsteins!)
Best Actor Comedy or Musical
Jean Dujardin, The Artist
Brendan Gleeson, The Guard
Joseph Gordon Levitt, 50/50
Ryan Gosling, Crazy Stupid Love
Owen Wilson, Midnight in Paris
100% unanimous for Jean Dujardin for The Artist
Best Actor Supporting
Kenneth Branagh, My Week with Marilyn
Albert Brooks, Drive
Jonah Hill, Moneyball
Viggo Mortensen, A Dangerous Method
Christopher Plummer, Beginners
Most are saying Christopher Plummer has this, but there are a few Albert Brooks standouts. If Brooks couldn’t win the BFCAs, where Drive had such a strong showing, I have a hard time seeing him win here. Plummer probably has it.
General Consensus and Sasha’s prediction: Christopher Plummer, Beginners
Best Actress Supporting
Berenice Bejo, The Artist
Jessica Chastain , The Help
Janet McTeer, Albert Nobbs
Octavia Spencer, The Help
Shailene Woodley, The Descendants
General consensus and Sasha’s Prediction: Octavia Spencer, The Help
Best Foreign Language Film
A Separation (Iran)
The Flowers Of War (China)
The Kid With The Bike (Belgium)
In The Land Of Blood and Honey (USA)
The Skin I Live In (Spain)
Foreign is kind of all over the place over at Gold Derby. I suspect they won’t send Angie home without seeing her take the stage. But–
General Consensus: A Separation
Sasha’s prediction: In the Land of Blood and Honey
Best Animated Feature
TinTin
Arthur Christmas
Cars 2
Puss in Boots
Rango
General Consensus and Sasha’s Prediction: Rango
Best Screenplay
Midnight in Paris, Woody Allen
The Ides of March, George Clooney, Grant Heslov, Beau Willimon
The Artist, Michel Hazanavicius
The Descendants, Alexander Payne, Nat Faxon and Jim Rash
Moneyball, Steven Zaillian and Aaron Sorkin
General consensus and Sasha’s prediction: Midnight in Paris
Best Score
The Artist, Ludovic Bource
W.E., Abel Korzeniowski
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo, Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross
Hugo, Howard Shore
War Horse, John Williams
General consensus -but commonly held thinking is that The Artist has this one sewn up, as the score basically IS the script.
Sasha’s prediction: Trent Reznor/Atticus Ross for The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo because it takes film composing to such a new and interesting level, because it blows my mind every time I watch the film and listen to the score.
Best Original Song
“Hello Hello” – “Gnomeo & Juliet – Elton John
“Lay Your Head Down” – “Albert Nobbs” – Sinead O’Connor
“The Living Proof” – “The Help” – Mary J. Blige
“The Keeper” – “Machine Gun Preacher” – Gerard Butler
“Masterpiece” – “W.E.” – Madonna
General consensus – it’s all over the place with the edge given to Help Hello
Sasha’s prediction: The Living Proof — I think Madonna has a really good chance to score here, too, though.
Well, that happened. Now let’s see what Sunday has in store. As always, we hope for many surprises. For Sunday, Ryan will be managing the site and I will be on twitter annoying people @awardsdaily. You can follow Ryan too on Twitter.
Globe Winner Predictions. A Nail Biting Night?
And here are my predictions. I'm just going for it and predicting a return to... January 2003. Wait, what? Read on!
MOVIES
BEST PICTURE, DRAMA
- The Descendants
- The Help
- Hugo
- The Ides of March
- Moneyball
- War Horse
Prediction: The Help
Spoiler: The Descendants
EST PICTURE, COMEDY or MUSICAL
- 50/50
- The Artist
- Bridesmaids
- Midnight in Paris
- My Week With Marilyn
Prediction: The Artist
Spoiler: Bridesmaids (imagine the uproar!)
- Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris
- George Clooney, The Ides of March
- Michel Hazanavicus, The Artist
- Alexander Payne, The Descendants
- Martin Scorsese, Hugo
Prediction: Hazanavicius
Spoiler: Scorsese
- Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs
- Viola Davis, The Help
- Rooney Mara, The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
- Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
- Tilda Swinton, We Need To Talk About Kevin
Prediction: Meryl Streep
Spoiler: Viola Davis
- Jodie Foster, Carnage
- Charlize Theron, Young Adult
- Kristen Wiig, Bridesmaids
- Michelle Williams, My Week With Marilyn
- Kate Winslet, Carnage
Prediction: Michelle Williams
Spoiler: Kristen Wiig
- George Clooney, The Descendants
- Leonardo DiCaprio, J Edgar
- Michael Fassbender, Shame
- Ryan Gosling, The Ides of March
- Brad Pitt, Moneyball
Prediction: Brad Pitt
Spoiler: George Clooney (... but imagine how much press the Globes would get from a tie?!)
- Jean Dujardin, The Artist
- Brendan Gleeson, The Guard
- Joseph Gordon-Levitt, 50/50
- Ryan Gosling, Crazy Stupid Love
- Owen Wilson, Midnight in Paris
Prediction: Jean Dujardin
Spoiler: none.
- Bérénice Bejo, The Artist
- Jessica Chastain, The Help
- Janet McTeer, Albert Nobbs
- Octavia Spencer, The Help
- Shailene Woodley, The Descendants
Prediction: Octavia Spencer
Spoiler: Bérénice Bejo
- Kenneth Branagh, My Week With Marilyn
- Albert Brooks, Drive
- Jonah Hill, Moneyball
- Viggo Mortensen, A Dangerous Method
- Christopher Plummer, Beginners
Spoiler: Albert Brooks if they want a moment.
BEST ANIMATED FILM
- The Adventures of Tintin
- Arthur Christmas
- Cars 2
- Puss in Boots
- Rango
Spoiler: Tintin
- The Flowers of War
- In the Land of Blood and Honey
- The Kid With a Bike
- A Separation
- The Skin I Live In
Prediction: In the Land of Blood and Honey
Spoiler: A Separation
- Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris
- George Clooney and Grant Henslov, The Ides of March
- Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
- Alexander Payne, Nat Faxon and Jim Rash, The Descendants
- Steve Zaillain and Aaron Sorkin, Moneyball
Prediction: Midnight in Paris
Spoiler: The Descendants
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
- Ludovic Bource, The Artist
- Abel Korzeniowski, W.E.
- Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross, The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
- Howard Shore, Hugo
- John Williams, War Horse
Prediction: The Artist
Spoiler: War Horse
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
- "Hello Hello" Gnomeo & Juliet
- "The Keeper" Machine Gun Preacher
- "Lay Your Head Down" Albert Nobbs
- "The Living Proof" The Help
- "Masterpiece" W.E.
Prediction: Mary J Blige "The Living Proof"
Spoiler: Glenn Close & Sinead O Connor "Lay Your Head"
CECIL B deMILLE AWARD
- Morgan Freeman
TELEVISION AWARDS
*please do not take the following AS
seriously. I have never claimed to know what I'm talking about when it
comes to the buzz surrounding television shows.
- American Horror Story (FX)
- Boardwalk Empire (HBO)
- Boss (Starz)
- Game of Thrones (HBO)
- Homeland (Showtime)
Prediction: Homeland
Spoiler: Game of Thrones
BEST COMEDY SERIES
- Enlightened (HBO)
- Episodes (Showtime)
- Glee (Fox)
- Modern Family (ABC)
- The New Girl (Fox)
Prediction: The New Girl
Spoiler: Modern Family
BEST ACTRESS, DRAMA SERIES
- Claire Danes, Homeland
- Mireille Enos, The Killing
- Julianna Marguiles, The Good Wife
- Madeleine Stowe, Revenge
- Callie Thorne, Necessary Roughness
"Every time I hug you, the warmth you feel is my hatred burning through."That said, Stowe willingly took herself out of showbiz for over a decade so she doesn't seem like the willing-to-schmooze-for-it type so I'm guessing a former winner takes it albeit in new character form.
Prediction: Claire Danes
Spoiler: Julianna Marguiles
BEST ACTRESS, COMEDY SERIES
- Laura Dern, Enlightened
- Zooey Deschanel, The New Girl
- Tina Fey, 30 Rock
- Laura Linney, The Big C
- Amy Poehler, Parks and Recreation
Prediction: Zooey Deschanel
Spoiler: Laura Dern
BEST ACTOR, DRAMA SERIES
- Steve Buscemi, Boardwalk Empire
- Bryan Cranston, Breaking Bad
- Kelsey Grammar, Boss
- Jeremy Irons, the Bourgias
- Damien Lewis, Homeland
Spoiler: Steve Buscemi
BEST ACTOR, COMEDY SERIES
- Alec Baldwin, 30 Rock
- David Duchovny, Californication
- Johnny Galecki, The Big Bang Theory
- Thomas Jane, Hung
- Matt LeBlanc, Episodes
Spoiler: Leblanc? Seriously I'm at sea here. HELP IN THE COMMENTS.
BEST TELEVISION MOVIE OR MINISERIES
- Cinema Verite (HBO)
- Downton Abbey (PBS)
- The Hour (BBC America)
- Mildred Pierce (HBO)
- Too Big To Fail (HBO)
Spoiler: Mildred Pierce
BEST ACTRESS IN A TELEVISION MOVIE OR MINISERIES
- Romola Garai, The Hour
- Diane Lane, Cinema Verite
- Elizabeth McGovern, Downton Abbey
- Emily Watson, Appropriate Adult
- Kate Winslet, Mildred Pierce
Spoiler: none.
BEST ACTOR IN A TELEVISION MOVIE OR MINISERIES
- Hugh Bonneville, Downton Abbey
- Idris Elba, Luther
- William Hurt, Too Big To Fail
- Bill Nighy, Page Eight
- Domiinic West, The Hour
Spoiler: Dominic West
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A SERIES, MINISERIES OR TELEVISION MOVIE
- Jessica Lange, American Horror Story
- Kelly Macdonald, Boardwalk Empire
- Maggie Smith, Downton Abbey
- Sofia Vergara, Modern Family
- Evan Rachel Wood, Mildred Pierce
Spoiler: Maggie Smith. Aso Magnetized.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A SERIES, MINISERIES OR TELEVISION MOVIE
- Peter Dinklage, Game of Thrones
- Paul Giamatti,
- Guy Pearce
- Tim Robbins,
- Eric Stonestreet, Modern Family
Spoiler: none.
NOTE: Ruben Nepales and his wife are members of the HFPA and as such, his article below may provide more hints of who might win than any of the predictions by Awards prognosticators.
Only In Hollywood
Who will stop Meryl?
By: Ruben V. NepalesPhilippine Daily Inquirer
Will Meryl Streep’s unanimously acclaimed performance as “The Iron Lady” earn her another trophy in the Golden Globe Awards on Sunday (Monday morning, Manila time)?
Or will one of the following pull a surprise over Meryl and win the Best Actress-Drama honors? The other contenders are Glenn Close (“Albert Nobbs”), Viola Davis (“The Help”), Rooney Mara (“The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo”) and Tilda Swinton (“We Need To Talk About Kevin”).
There are no clear frontrunners in the other categories, which should make for a suspenseful evening at the Beverly Hilton Hotel in Beverly Hills. But the results of the Sunday event will establish the trend in a year where the race is virtually everyone’s ballgame.
In the Best Picture-Drama field for example, there’s no dominant film. Any of these nominees may take home the Golden Globe (GG): “The Descendants,” “The Help,” “Hugo,” “The Ides of March,” “Moneyball” and “War Horse.”
The Best Actor-Drama is just as open. The equally deserving contenders are George Clooney (“The Descendants”), Leonardo DiCaprio (“J. Edgar”), Michael Fassbender (“Shame”), Ryan Gosling (“The Ides of March”) and Brad Pitt (“Moneyball”).
While “The Artist” leads the GG nominations with six nods, it faces stiff competition in the Best Picture-Comedy or Musical category from “Bridesmaids,” “Midnight in Paris,” “My Week With Marilyn” and “50/50.”
Frontrunners
In the Best Actress-Comedy or Musical race, Kristen Wiig (“Bridesmaids”) and Michelle Williams (“My Week With Marilyn”) are reported as frontrunners but don’t count out Charlize Theron (“Young Adult”), and Jodie Foster and Kate Winslet, both from “Carnage.”
The Best Actor-Comedy or Musical contest may be a clearer one, based on the buzz for “The Artist.” In Jean Dujardin way’s are Ryan Gosling (“Crazy, Stupid, Love”), Joseph Gordon-Levitt (“50/50”), Owen Wilson (“Midnight in Paris”) and Brendan Gleeson (“The Guard”).
Nowhere is the open race more evident than in the Best Animated Picture competition. The year 2011 saw a bounty of outstanding animated films so for the first time in many years, a Pixar film is not a shoo-in as the winner. “Cars 2” has to fend itself from just as strong fellow nominees: “The Adventures of Tintin,” “Arthur Christmas,” “Puss In Boots” and “Rango.”
Iran’s “A Separation” may appear to have the edge right now in the Best Foreign Language Film derby on the strength of the awards it has collected. But the Iranian entry could still be edged out by China’s “The Flowers of War,” USA’s “In the Land of Blood and Honey,” Belgium’s “The Kid With a Bike” and Spain’s “The Skin I Live In.”
Early favorites
When “The Help” was released in August last year, its Octavia Spencer and Jessica Chastain were early favorites to slug it out for the Best Supporting Actress award. But the arrival of the following films later in the year deepened the competition: “The Artist” (Berenice Bejo), “Albert Nobbs” (Janet McTeer) and “The Descendants” (Shailene Woodley).
The Best Supporting Actor contest is also just as suspenseful since it’s a wide-open race among Kenneth Branagh (“My Week With Marilyn”), Albert Brooks (“Drive”), Jonah Hill (“Moneyball”), Viggo Mortensen (“A Dangerous Method”) and Christopher Plummer (“Beginners”).
For Best Director, “The Artist’s” Michael Hazanavicius is up against equally strong contenders: Woody Allen (“Midnight In Paris”), George Clooney (“The Ides of March”), Alexander Payne (“The Descendants”) and Martin Scorsese (“Hugo”).
Will Madonna go on stage to collect her second GG? She, Julie Frost and Jimmy Harry are in the running for the Best Original Song Award with “Masterpiece.”
She is pitted against Elton John and Bernie Taupin (“Hello Hello” from “Gnomeo & Juliet”), Glenn Close and Brian Byrne (“Lay Your Head Down” from “Albert Nobbs”), Mary J. Blige, Thomas Newman and Harvey Mason Jr. (“The Living Proof” from “The Help”) and Chris Cornell (“The Keeper” from “Machine Gun Preacher”).
E-mail rvnepales_5585@yahoo.com. Follow http://twitter.com/nepalesruben.
Golden Globes 2012 Predictions: Who Will Win On Sunday Night?
Get excited, Moviefone readers! On Sunday, the 69th annual Golden Globes will take place in Hollywood, Ricky Gervais will flame every star in attendance, and some pretty chintzy looking awards will get handed out to some of 2011's best and brightest performers. Fun times!
Here at Moviefone HQ, your crack editors will provide commentary all night long, as well as looks at the red carpet and the night's winners. Double fun times!
Follow us on Twitter (@moviefone) and check back here for all things Globes. Before doing all that, however, enjoy these
Best Motion Picture -- Drama
"The Descendants"
"The Help"
"Hugo"
"The Ides of March"
"Moneyball"
"War Horse"
Best Motion Picture -- Comedy
"50/50"
"The Artist"
"Bridesmaids"
"My Week With Marilyn"
"Midnight in Paris"
Best Actress -- Drama
Glenn Close, "Albert Nobbs"
Viola Davis, "The Help"
Rooney Mara, "The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo"
Meryl Streep, "The Iron Lady"
Tilda Swinton, "We Need to Talk About Kevin"
Best Actor -- Drama
George Clooney, "The Descendants"
Leonardo DiCaprio, "J. Edgar"
Michael Fassbender, "Shame"
Ryan Gosling, "The Ides of March"
Brad Pitt, "Moneyball"
Best Actress -- Comedy
Jodie Foster, "Carnage"
Charlize Theron, "Young Adult"
Kristen Wiig, "Bridesmaids"
Michelle Williams, "My Week With Marilyn"
Kate Winslet, "Carnage"
Best Actor -- Comedy
Jean Dujardin, "The Artist"
Brendan Gleeson, "The Guard"
Ryan Gosling, "Crazy Stupid Love"
Joseph Gordon-Levitt, "50/50"
Owen Wilson, "Midnight in Paris"
Best Supporting Actress
Berenice Bejo, "The Artist"
Jessica Chastain, "The Help"
Janet McTeer, "Albert Nobbs"
Octavia Spencer, "The Help"
Shailene Woodley, "The Descendants"
Best Supporting Actor
Kenneth Branagh, "My Week With Marilyn"
Albert Brooks, "Drive"
Jonah Hill, "Moneyball"
Viggo Mortensen, "A Dangerous Method"
Christopher Plummer, "Beginners"
Best Director
Woody Allen, "Midnight in Paris"
George Clooney, "The Ides of March"
Michel Hazanavicius, "The Artist"
Alexander Payne, "The Descendants"
Martin Scorsese, "Hugo"
Best Screenplay
"The Artist"
"The Descendants"
"The Ides of March"
"Midnight in Paris"
"Moneyball"
Best Animated Film
"The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn"
"Arthur Christmas"
"Cars 2"
"Puss In Boots"
"Rango"
Best Foreign Language Film
"A Separation" (Iran)
"The Flowers Of War" (China)
"The Kid With The Bike" (Belgium)
"In The Land Of Blood and Honey" (USA)
"The Skin I Live In" (Spain)
Best Original Score
Ludovic Bource, "The Artist"
Abel Korzeniowski, "W.E."
Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross, "The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo"
Howard Shore, "Hugo"
John Williams, "War Horse"
Best Original Song
"Hello Hello" by Elton John, "Gnomeo & Juliet"
"Lay Your Head Down" by Sinead O'Connor, "Albert Nobbs"
"The Living Proof," by Mary J. Blige, "The Help"
"The Keeper," by Gerard Butler, "Machine Gun Preacher"
"Masterpiece," by Madonna, "W.E."
The 2012 Golden Globes - Who Will Win, and Who Should
January 13, 2012 | by Peter Knegt
BEST ACTOR: DRAMA
George Clooney, The Descendants
Leonardo DiCaprio, J.Edgar
Michael Fassbender, Shame
Ryan Gosling, The Ides of March
Brad Pitt, Moneyball
Who Will Win: In perhaps the sexiest best actor lineup ever it seems to
be down to old pals George Clooney and Brad Pitt, both of whom already
have multiple Golden Globes (as noted, the HFPA loves them a hot movie
star). The edge here goes to Clooney (who has a whopping four
nominations going into the night), though Pitt certainly stands a good
chance. Knowing the Globes, maybe they'll simply give them a tie.
Who Should Win: The least famous of them all (for now), Michael Fassbender.
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
"A Separation" (Iran)
The Flowers Of War" (China)
"The Kid With The Bike" (Belgium)
"In The Land Of Blood and Honey" (USA)
"The Skin I Live In" (Spain)
Who Will Win: Can the Academy resist getting Angelina Jolie on stage?
That's the main question when considering this award, which otherwise
would seem a safe bet for Oscar frontrunner "A Separation."
Who Should Win: Undoubtedly "A Separation."
Golden Globe Final Predictions – “Double Dipping Sauce”
Best Actor in a Leading Role (Drama)
George Clooney – “The Descendants”
Leonardo DiCaprio – “J. Edgar”
Michael Fassbender – “Shame”
Ryan Gosling – “The Ides of March”
Brad Pitt – “Moneyball”
HFPA loves their stars and this is probably Clooney’s to lose but don’t be surprised to see Brad Pitt leap out in front of him. If a split occurs, Fassbender could be a beneficiary. DiCaprio and Gosling are just happy to be there.
Alternate: Brad Pitt
Surprise: Michael Fassbender
Best Director – Motion Picture
Woody Allen – “Midnight in Paris”
George Clooney – “The Ides of March”
Michel Hazanavicius – “The Artist”
Alexander Payne – “The Descendants”
Martin Scorsese – “Hugo”
Hazanavicius vs. Payne vs. Scorsese. Who wins? All three have the edge. It’s anyone’s game.
Alternate: Alexander Payne
Surprise: Martin Scorsese
Best Foreign Language Film
The Flowers of War
In The Land of Blood and Honey
The Kid WIth The Bike
A Separation
The Skin I Live In
Alternate: “The Skin I Live In”
Surprise” “In the Land of Blood and Honey”