The Hobbit has set new Dec. box office records but it's coming in way below earlier projections of $95M on BoxoffficeMojo and $118M on Boxoffice.com. Word of mouth may not be as strong as its "A" CinemaScore suggests as the audience score on RT is already down to 81% and we're still in the opening weekend. In contrast, Fellowship and Two Towers both scored 92% on RT and ROTK 83%. Visual wizardy aside, Hobbit felt like a lackluster, bloated effort largely content to recycle and coast on popular elements from the LOTR films. Fellowship of the Ring made many new fans out of those who had never read the book and they eagerly awaited the subsequent installments. The Hobbit isn't likely to accomplish the same feat.
Killing Them Softly took in $1M this weekend, down 64% from last week, for a $14.1M cume. It looks like it may end its domestic run with roughly $15M. It has $31.5M worldwide.
- Fussy
From Vulture
Your Box Office Explained: Why Didn’t The Hobbit Make More Money This Weekend?
This Weekend’s Winner: No surprise that The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey (No.
1 with just shy of $85 million) ruled them all on its debut weekend.
But what is a bit, well, unexpected, is that it didn’t do even better.
This Weekend’s Loser: It’s not quite fair to call Life of Pi (No. 5 with $5.4 million, a decrease of a third of last week's audience) a loser — yet. But the hugely expensive Ang Lee film has grossed just $69.6 million here in the States, and may wind up a money loser for Fox unless international grosses end up picking up the slack. The next couple of weeks will be crucial, especially in China, where Pi has become the second U.S. film (behind the 3=D version of Titanic) to gross more in that nation than in America.
This Weekend’s Loser: It’s not quite fair to call Life of Pi (No. 5 with $5.4 million, a decrease of a third of last week's audience) a loser — yet. But the hugely expensive Ang Lee film has grossed just $69.6 million here in the States, and may wind up a money loser for Fox unless international grosses end up picking up the slack. The next couple of weeks will be crucial, especially in China, where Pi has become the second U.S. film (behind the 3=D version of Titanic) to gross more in that nation than in America.
How It All Went Down: Lost in all the usual box-office hyperventilating about record-breaking grosses — Why, it’s the biggest December Friday opening ever! etc., etc. — is the fact that there are only two numbers that truly matter: what The Hobbit cost to make, and what it ultimately will gross.
The true cost of The Hobbit may not ever be knowable, but
two knowledgeable insiders surmise that it approaches $300 million just
to make the movie. More, its financial prospects are certainly
complicated by the fact that so many moguls will be just that much
richer for having had their fingerprints on it at some point. Not just
its actual filmmakers Jackson and Walsh, but former producers like its
almost-director Guillermo del Toro, Saul Zaentz, Harvey Weinstein, and
even the Tolkien estate must all have their palms crossed with silver
first.
As a result, Vulture’s go-to gaggle of experts is surprisingly
divided on its long-term prospects. “This could still be one of those
situations where, like King Kong, it grosses over $550 million worldwide and still loses money,” cautioned one insider familiar with the costly fantasy project’s path to production.
But one former studio marketing chief counters, “I'd take $85
million for one third of a film — even with $13 million of it on
midnights [midnight showings]. It is going to play through the holidays,
and nothing else is going to come close.”
Still, it’s worth pointing out that while $222 million in
worldwide grosses is hardly dwarf potatoes, it is also a bit
underwhelming compared with both what was expected for The Hobbit given the size and renown of the Lord of the Rings franchise: Its opening weekend ranks only 37th in terms of all-time opening weekends, and even fell short of 2003’s The Return of the King, which grossed almost $91 million when adjusted for inflation. Indeed, just a month ago, the new James Bond film Skyfall opened in some 500 fewer theaters but still grossed $3 million more than The Hobbit.
Which raises the question, how come? One rival studio chief
elucidated three compelling arguments against bigger box office for
Bilbo. “One, backlash at 48 frames from the core audience right outta
the gate,” opined this chief, suggesting that there is such a thing as
"too lifelike" for a fantasy-obsessed audience. “Two, poor reviews, and three, it looks like a remake not a new adventure. For example, if I weren't already a Hobbit fan, its marketing didn't tell me why I should be excited about this new adventure.”
(To which we’ll add that it’s also worth noting The Hobbit carries an extravagant two-hour-and-50-minute run time, making squeezing in an extra showing hard to impossible for theaters.)
Meanwhile, back in reality, serious adult drama — long thought to
be an endangered species on the verge of extinction — is doing
tremendously well this holiday season: Spielberg’s Lincoln (No. 3 with $7.2 million) and Affleck’s Argo have both reached over $100 million in domestic grosses, and Zemeckis’s Flight will likely do so before Christmas arrives.
Gitesh Pandya
Massive freefall for #Hobbit on SAT. Wknd possibly closer to low 80s. Official #s coming soon.
From TOH
"The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey" delivered about 70% of the top ten revenue during the pre-Christmas doldrums. Grosses almost doubled from last weekend and climbed about 13% from last year, making this a very successful weekend indeed. Yes, "The Hobbit" set a record for December weekend openings-- in raw dollar count--but the numbers suggest that it might not be quite as strong as seems at first glance. Down the line, a whole series of Thanskgiving and earlier releases show few signs of giving up their screens as a whole slew of major new films prepare to battle to grab their spots over the next two weeks.
1. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey (Warner Bros.) - Cinemascore: A; Metacritic score: 58
$84,775,000 in 4,045 theaters; PSA (per screen average): $20,958; Cumulative: $84,775,000
The headlines correctly indicate that the initial installment of "The Hobbit" trilogy has achieved the biggest December weekend gross ever, an impressive achievement. But analyzing the grosses beyond the raw numbers does reveal something a bit different from the headlines. Compare these numbers to the final part of the "Lord of the Rings" trilogy nine years ago, as well as other big December openings.
Back then "Lord of the Rings: Return of the King" opened in about 300 fewer theaters, with base ticket prices around 25% lower than now, without the surcharges for 3-D and other special presentations, with a Wednesday opening. That means that $51 million had already been taken in before the weekend. It then grossed $72 million for its three day weekend, bringing in around 10 million customers on top of the 7 million who had already seen it.
Three years ago, "Avatar" opened in a slightly more difficult weekend -- the last before Xmas, traditionally an even tougher time for movies -- and grossed $77 million in about 600 fewer theaters, with similar surcharges but slightly lower ticket prices. However, "Avatar" didn't have the benefit of being the perceived continuation of a huge franchise, from which "The Hobbit" gains. Its Saturday-Sunday grosses, similar to "LotR:RotK," also in raw numbers are better than the two day projection for "The Hobbit."
And in 2007, "I Am Legend," a non-franchise, non-3-D release, opened to $77 million as well, with about 12 million tickets sold. It is more difficult to estimate exactly how many tickets were sold for "The Hobbit." But even with a average ticket prices estimated at $10, likely below the actual cost with surcharges, "The Hobbit" would have far fewer attendees, somewhere around 8 million, on par with "Avatar," but below both "I Am Legend" and "LofR:RotK."
The point? Yes, "The Hobbit" has opened strongly, although industry estimates suggested expectations over $100 million. Yes, it has in undifferentiated numbers outgrossed any previous December opening. But it is far too early to suggest it will sustain itself to the degree the earlier "Rings" films did, much less "Avatar"'s incredible numbers.
56 international territories also opened, with early indications that the total by the end of the weekend will exceed the domestic take, meaning a pre-Christmas approach to $200 million - again a very strong start.
What comes next: Christmas weeks sustained and expanded the success of both the "Lord of the Rings" series and "Avatar." The unanswered question now is whether "The Hobbit" will have the same level of word of mouth and interest that turned those films into some of the biggest hits of all time. That, more that its strong opening, is how the ultimate success of this film will be determined.
2. Rise of the Guardians (Paramount) - Week 4; Last weekend: #2
$7,420,000 (-29%) in 3,387 theaters (-252); PSA: $2,191; Cumulative: $71,362,000
This expensive Dreamworks animated film has been the surprise success post-Thanksgiving. It had grossed below hopes when it opened, but now has risen to second place for two weeks in a row. And this is with all-importnat Christmas school vacation still approaching. Now this kids-oriented film is certain to stay in theaters in the weeks ahead and grow its gross substantially.
What comes next: This still won't approach the $200 million-plus gross of earlier animated features this year, and even with worldwide grosses eventually adding much more, this doesn't look like it will ever achieve major success compared to its budget. But for Dreamworks Animation (moving forward, distributed by Fox) the better than normal hold has to come as a relief.
3. Lincoln (Buena Vista) - Week 6; Last weekend: #4
$7,244,000 (-19%) in 2,285 theaters (+ 271); PSA: $3,170; Cumulative: $107,898,000
It's tough to add new superlatives to the amazing ongoing performance of this film. Jumping one position in its sixth week, leaping ahead of two films that it was behind last weekend (aided by adding some additional theaters), there is no stopping its success.
What comes next: With Christmas ahead, holding in nearly all these theaters, and then an expected Oscar-leading nomination total still ahead, this could still come close to doubling its gross so far and be in the top ten for two more months. Steven Spielberg has accomplished a lot in his career, but this achievement has to be near the top of the list.
4. Skyfall (Sony) - Week 6; Last weekend: #1
$7,000,000 (-35%) in 2,924 theaters (-477); PSA: $2,394; Cumulative: $272,366,000
Now approaching the $1 billion mark worldwide, and certain to pass that in the weeks ahead, this monster James Bond hit continues to impress. The previous Bond, "Quantum of Solace," had a gross of $3.7 million by comparison the same weekend, with a total gross $115 million less at this point. This could very well be the biggest improved performance on a consecutive film in a successful series released in a normal time period.
What comes next: Christmas, and easily enough ongoing dates to push this past the $300 million level,
5. The Life of Pi (20th Century-Fox) - Week 4; Last weekend: #5
$5,400,000 (-35%) in 2,548 theaters (-398); PSA: $2,119; Cumulative: $69,559,000
Holding once again quite well, already approaching $70 million with more than $100 million additonally already in from the rest of the world with many territories yet to open, this risky and expensive project continues to move toward impressive and hardly assumed profit.
Last year, "Hugo," a similarly ambitious 3-D project, also centering on a boy, also directed by an Oscar-winning director, with slightly better reviews, was following a similar release pattern to significantly less success. The same weekend last year, it grossed $3.7 million (about two-thirds) and had grossed $39 million to that point (only a little more than half of the "Pi" take so far. It then went on to ten Oscar nominations--with the sense that its underperformance had hurt its chances to win Best Picture.
What comes next: It will be tough for Fox to hold on to close to this number of screens through Christmas, even though the film, like others, would be expected to improve. But, even more than "Hugo," it should be able to sustain enough to benefit from the bounty, then, like other likely nominees, stage something of a comeback next month.
6. Breaking Dawn - Part 2 (Lionsgate) - Week 5; Last weekend: #3
$5,175,000 (-44%) in 3,042 theaters (-604); PSA: $1,701; Cumulative: $276,365,000
Doing almost $1 million more than "Part 1" did the same weekend last year, and having a modest fall for the time of year and the amount of business taken in so far, this has performed at least up to and arguably beyond expectations.
What comes next: Not strong enough to gain much of a Christmas boost, but it will still add on enough to hit $300 million or so, plus bigger international grosses that have enjoyed a more substantial jump from last year.
7. Wreck-It Ralph (Buena Vista) - Week 7; Last weekend: #7
$3,273,000 (-33%) in 2,249 theaters (-497); PSA: $1,455; Cumulative: $168,779,000
Despite another drop in theater totals, this fell only a third, keeping its lengthy run alive, and sustaining hope for reasonable matinee holdovers in enough theaters to push this to close to $200 million.
What comes next: This strength comes at the right time for one of three Disney Oscar animated feature contenders.
8. Playing for Keeps (FilmDistrict) - Week 2; Last weekend: #6
$3,247,000 (-43%) in 2,840 theaters (+3); PSA: $1,143; Cumulative: $10,838,000
Getting a very modest second weekend with huge competition, this Millennium Films production limped over the $10 million mark with no great expectations for going for more than a partial week more (with Christmas Day releases a major roadblock).
What comes next: Very little.
9. Red Dawn (FilmDistrict) - Week 4; Last weekend: #8
$2,394,000 (-43%) in 2,250 theaters (-504); PSA: $1,064; Cumulative: $40,889,000
Continuing as the only pure action film in the market, "Red Dawn" completes its four week run in the top 10 - longer than expected - with another OK showing.
What comes next: Again, the end is near, but for FilmDistrict, a much better result than "Playing for Keeps."
10. Silver Linings Playbook (Weinstein) - Week 5; Last weekend: #11
$2,084,000 (-4%) in 371 theaters (unchanged); PSA: $5,617; Cumulative: $16,954,000
Will slow and steady win the race? The small fall-off this weekend - particularly rare for this time of time - got SLP into the top ten with the same small number of theaters it has played at for four weeks now. With a strong week in awards and nominations, this keeps the film positioned for continued playoff through the holiday.
What comes next: Grosses, even it is stays at close to this number of theaters, should grow starting on Christmas Day, then accumulated word of mouth and a planned major expansion playing off Oscar nominations next month is expected to help its award chances rise just at the right time.
From boxoffice.com
Warner's The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey debuted in first place this weekend with an estimated $84.78 million. In the process the film set a new record for the largest December opening weekend performance on record by topping the $77.21 million debut of 2007's I Am Legend. However, it should be noted that The Hobbit was unable to set a new record when adjusting for ticket price inflation. 2003's The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King, which opened with $72.63 million in unadjusted terms, still holds that mark with an adjusted figure of $95.6 million (and that was after opening on a Wednesday and without the advantage of higher priced 3D admissions).
The Hobbit was off to a very strong midnight start of $13.0 million on Friday, but didn't display the type of early holding power the Lord of the Rings films did in their respective first days of release. The Hobbit grossed $37.53 million for all of Friday, $28.15 million on Saturday and an estimated $19.10 million on Sunday. That placed the film's weekend to Friday ratio (after factoring Midnight grosses out) at 2.93 to 1. Granted they all had additional help from opening on a Wednesday, but ratios for the three Lord of the Rings films all fell within the range of 3.23 - 3.33 to 1. The early relative front-loading of The Hobbit (combined with higher ticket prices) is a sure sign that this weekend's debut was very fan driven. It will now be much more important for the film to hold up well throughout the holiday season. With not much for family audiences this month and the film being better received by audiences than it has been by critics (it earned an A rating on CinemaScore), it will have a good chance of being able to do so.
The Hobbit grossed $10.1 million from IMAX locations, which represented 11.9 percent of this weekend's take. 3D grosses represented 49 percent of this weekend's overall grosses. The film skewed towards male moviegoers (57 percent) and moviegoers over 25 (58 percent).
Rise of the Guardians finished in a distant second with an estimated $7.42 million, but was down just 29 percent from last weekend. In general, most holdovers held up well this weekend, as there were clearly moviegoers looking for an alternative to The Hobbit. Rise of the Guardians continues to be helped out by both strong word of mouth and the ongoing holiday season and has now grossed $71.36 million to date. The film continues to perform stronger internationally, where it grossed $20.1 million this weekend. With an international total of $119.4 million, the worldwide haul stands at $190.8 million for Rise of the Guardians.
Lincoln placed in third with $7.24 million. The Golden Globe nominee for Best Drama was down only 19 percent from last weekend, as it greatly stabilized this weekend thanks in part to expanding into additional 271 locations. Lincoln has grossed $107.90 million to date, which makes it the 15th film directed by Steven Spielberg to gross at least $100 million domestically (without taking into account ticket price inflation).
Skyfall was down 35 percent and three spots from last weekend to take fourth with an estimated $7.0 million. The blockbuster 23rd installment of the James Bond franchise has now grossed $272.37 million to date, which currently ranks the film as the fifth highest grossing release of 2012 domestically.
From Deadline
Warner Bros says The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey opened
to $37.5M Friday and $28.1M Saturday for probably $84.8M for the
weekend with an ‘A’ CinemaScore from audiences. There are two
records shattered – biggest December Friday and biggest December
weekend for the domestic box office. The debut for the 3D actioner from
MGM/Warner Bros in 4,045 theaters is grossing much larger than The Lord Of The Rings
trilogy. Friday’s take included a record $13M from 3,100 midnight
shows, counting $1.6M on IMAX screens. The pic based on matinee trends
had been on a $113+M fast track for its first U.S.-Canada weekend. But
then its business slowed Friday evening no doubt because of its very
long 2 hour, 46 minute running time.
It’s already the
#1 movie abroad and has taken in $57M from 56 international markets
(18,200 screens) through Friday. My insiders believe it’s very possible
for the movie to end this weekend with approximately $200M worldwide. Yowza! In
the U.S. and Canada, MovieTickets said box office advance tickets for
the pic accounted for nearly 91% of sales going into Friday, with nearly
18% coming from those wanting to see the film in standard 3D format, 8%
in High Frame Rate 3D, and 7% in IMAX 3D. The record opening for this
weekend is I Am Legend‘s $77m. Remember, all Lords Of The Rings 2D films opened Christmas Week whereas 3D The Hobbit will play to lower openings but huge multiples helped by 3D and IMAX. The Hobbit An Unexpected Journey‘s
production was managed by New Line Cinema with parent company Warner
Bros Pictures handling worldwide theatrical distribution. Select
international territories (including Scandinavia) as well as all
international television distribution was handled by MGM.
In North America, the film is playing in 4,045 theaters, a record number for December. That includes 3,160 3D theaters and 461 theaters in the 48 frames-per-second format. Overseas, The Hobbit is opening in 55 territories on approximately 17,000 screens this weekend (excluding Australia, China and Russia). The pic scored a record opening in New Zealand where it was filmed and which is Jackson’s native country, marking the biggest non-holiday debut for a Wednesday.
The Hobbit was digitally re-mastered into IMAX 3D format and a select number of IMAX theatres will be presenting the pic using a higher frame rate (HFR) - presenting the picture in 48 frames per second (fps) which is closer to what the human eye actually sees. This is twice the rate of the standard 24 fps, which is the current format in cinemas worldwide. This use of HFR 3D is the first use of this method in a major motion picture release.
1. The Hobbit: Unexpected Journey (MGM/WB) NEW [Runs 4,045] PG13
Friday $37.5M, Saturday $28.1M, Weekend $84.8M
2. Skyfall (Eon/MGM/Sony) Week 6 [Runs 2,924] PG13
Friday $1.8M, Saturday $3.3M, Weekend $7.0M, Cume $272.4M
3. Rise Of The Guardian (DWA/Par) Week 4 [Runs 3,387] PG
Friday $1.5M, Saturday $3.3M, Weekend $7.0M, Cume $71.0M
4. Lincoln (DreamWorks/Fox/Disney) Week 6 [Runs 2,285] PG13
Friday $1.9M, Saturday $3.0M, Weekend $6.7M, Cume $107.7M
5. Life Of Pi (Fox) Week 4 [Runs 2,548] PG
Friday $1.4M, Saturday $2.4M, Weekend $5.4M, Cume $69.5M
6. Breaking Dawn Part 2 (Summit/Lionsgate) Week 5 [Runs 3,042] PG13
Friday $1.4M, Saturday $2.1M, Weekend $4.8M, Cume $276.5M
7. Wreck-It Ralph (Disney) Week 7 [Runs 2,249]PG
Friday $702K, Saturday $1.5M, Weekend $3.1M, Cume $168.6M
8. Playing For Keeps (Millenium/FilmDistrict) Week 2 [Runs 2,840] PG13
Friday $1.0K, Saturday $1.3M, Weekend $3.0M (-48%), Cume $10.6M
9. Red Dawn (MGM/FilmDistrict) Week 4 [Runs 2,250] PG13
Friday $698K, Saturday $1.1M, Weekend $2.4M, Cume $40.9M
10. Silver Linings Playbook (Weinstein) Week 5 [Runs 371] R
Friday $588K, Saturday $950K, Weekend $2.0M, Cume $16.9M
From TOH
Weekend Box Office Top Ten: 'The Hobbit' Breaks Records, But What Does It Mean?
"The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey" delivered about 70% of the top ten revenue during the pre-Christmas doldrums. Grosses almost doubled from last weekend and climbed about 13% from last year, making this a very successful weekend indeed. Yes, "The Hobbit" set a record for December weekend openings-- in raw dollar count--but the numbers suggest that it might not be quite as strong as seems at first glance. Down the line, a whole series of Thanskgiving and earlier releases show few signs of giving up their screens as a whole slew of major new films prepare to battle to grab their spots over the next two weeks.
1. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey (Warner Bros.) - Cinemascore: A; Metacritic score: 58
$84,775,000 in 4,045 theaters; PSA (per screen average): $20,958; Cumulative: $84,775,000
The headlines correctly indicate that the initial installment of "The Hobbit" trilogy has achieved the biggest December weekend gross ever, an impressive achievement. But analyzing the grosses beyond the raw numbers does reveal something a bit different from the headlines. Compare these numbers to the final part of the "Lord of the Rings" trilogy nine years ago, as well as other big December openings.
Back then "Lord of the Rings: Return of the King" opened in about 300 fewer theaters, with base ticket prices around 25% lower than now, without the surcharges for 3-D and other special presentations, with a Wednesday opening. That means that $51 million had already been taken in before the weekend. It then grossed $72 million for its three day weekend, bringing in around 10 million customers on top of the 7 million who had already seen it.
Three years ago, "Avatar" opened in a slightly more difficult weekend -- the last before Xmas, traditionally an even tougher time for movies -- and grossed $77 million in about 600 fewer theaters, with similar surcharges but slightly lower ticket prices. However, "Avatar" didn't have the benefit of being the perceived continuation of a huge franchise, from which "The Hobbit" gains. Its Saturday-Sunday grosses, similar to "LotR:RotK," also in raw numbers are better than the two day projection for "The Hobbit."
And in 2007, "I Am Legend," a non-franchise, non-3-D release, opened to $77 million as well, with about 12 million tickets sold. It is more difficult to estimate exactly how many tickets were sold for "The Hobbit." But even with a average ticket prices estimated at $10, likely below the actual cost with surcharges, "The Hobbit" would have far fewer attendees, somewhere around 8 million, on par with "Avatar," but below both "I Am Legend" and "LofR:RotK."
The point? Yes, "The Hobbit" has opened strongly, although industry estimates suggested expectations over $100 million. Yes, it has in undifferentiated numbers outgrossed any previous December opening. But it is far too early to suggest it will sustain itself to the degree the earlier "Rings" films did, much less "Avatar"'s incredible numbers.
56 international territories also opened, with early indications that the total by the end of the weekend will exceed the domestic take, meaning a pre-Christmas approach to $200 million - again a very strong start.
What comes next: Christmas weeks sustained and expanded the success of both the "Lord of the Rings" series and "Avatar." The unanswered question now is whether "The Hobbit" will have the same level of word of mouth and interest that turned those films into some of the biggest hits of all time. That, more that its strong opening, is how the ultimate success of this film will be determined.
2. Rise of the Guardians (Paramount) - Week 4; Last weekend: #2
$7,420,000 (-29%) in 3,387 theaters (-252); PSA: $2,191; Cumulative: $71,362,000
This expensive Dreamworks animated film has been the surprise success post-Thanksgiving. It had grossed below hopes when it opened, but now has risen to second place for two weeks in a row. And this is with all-importnat Christmas school vacation still approaching. Now this kids-oriented film is certain to stay in theaters in the weeks ahead and grow its gross substantially.
What comes next: This still won't approach the $200 million-plus gross of earlier animated features this year, and even with worldwide grosses eventually adding much more, this doesn't look like it will ever achieve major success compared to its budget. But for Dreamworks Animation (moving forward, distributed by Fox) the better than normal hold has to come as a relief.
3. Lincoln (Buena Vista) - Week 6; Last weekend: #4
$7,244,000 (-19%) in 2,285 theaters (+ 271); PSA: $3,170; Cumulative: $107,898,000
It's tough to add new superlatives to the amazing ongoing performance of this film. Jumping one position in its sixth week, leaping ahead of two films that it was behind last weekend (aided by adding some additional theaters), there is no stopping its success.
What comes next: With Christmas ahead, holding in nearly all these theaters, and then an expected Oscar-leading nomination total still ahead, this could still come close to doubling its gross so far and be in the top ten for two more months. Steven Spielberg has accomplished a lot in his career, but this achievement has to be near the top of the list.
4. Skyfall (Sony) - Week 6; Last weekend: #1
$7,000,000 (-35%) in 2,924 theaters (-477); PSA: $2,394; Cumulative: $272,366,000
Now approaching the $1 billion mark worldwide, and certain to pass that in the weeks ahead, this monster James Bond hit continues to impress. The previous Bond, "Quantum of Solace," had a gross of $3.7 million by comparison the same weekend, with a total gross $115 million less at this point. This could very well be the biggest improved performance on a consecutive film in a successful series released in a normal time period.
What comes next: Christmas, and easily enough ongoing dates to push this past the $300 million level,
5. The Life of Pi (20th Century-Fox) - Week 4; Last weekend: #5
$5,400,000 (-35%) in 2,548 theaters (-398); PSA: $2,119; Cumulative: $69,559,000
Holding once again quite well, already approaching $70 million with more than $100 million additonally already in from the rest of the world with many territories yet to open, this risky and expensive project continues to move toward impressive and hardly assumed profit.
Last year, "Hugo," a similarly ambitious 3-D project, also centering on a boy, also directed by an Oscar-winning director, with slightly better reviews, was following a similar release pattern to significantly less success. The same weekend last year, it grossed $3.7 million (about two-thirds) and had grossed $39 million to that point (only a little more than half of the "Pi" take so far. It then went on to ten Oscar nominations--with the sense that its underperformance had hurt its chances to win Best Picture.
What comes next: It will be tough for Fox to hold on to close to this number of screens through Christmas, even though the film, like others, would be expected to improve. But, even more than "Hugo," it should be able to sustain enough to benefit from the bounty, then, like other likely nominees, stage something of a comeback next month.
6. Breaking Dawn - Part 2 (Lionsgate) - Week 5; Last weekend: #3
$5,175,000 (-44%) in 3,042 theaters (-604); PSA: $1,701; Cumulative: $276,365,000
Doing almost $1 million more than "Part 1" did the same weekend last year, and having a modest fall for the time of year and the amount of business taken in so far, this has performed at least up to and arguably beyond expectations.
What comes next: Not strong enough to gain much of a Christmas boost, but it will still add on enough to hit $300 million or so, plus bigger international grosses that have enjoyed a more substantial jump from last year.
7. Wreck-It Ralph (Buena Vista) - Week 7; Last weekend: #7
$3,273,000 (-33%) in 2,249 theaters (-497); PSA: $1,455; Cumulative: $168,779,000
Despite another drop in theater totals, this fell only a third, keeping its lengthy run alive, and sustaining hope for reasonable matinee holdovers in enough theaters to push this to close to $200 million.
What comes next: This strength comes at the right time for one of three Disney Oscar animated feature contenders.
8. Playing for Keeps (FilmDistrict) - Week 2; Last weekend: #6
$3,247,000 (-43%) in 2,840 theaters (+3); PSA: $1,143; Cumulative: $10,838,000
Getting a very modest second weekend with huge competition, this Millennium Films production limped over the $10 million mark with no great expectations for going for more than a partial week more (with Christmas Day releases a major roadblock).
What comes next: Very little.
9. Red Dawn (FilmDistrict) - Week 4; Last weekend: #8
$2,394,000 (-43%) in 2,250 theaters (-504); PSA: $1,064; Cumulative: $40,889,000
Continuing as the only pure action film in the market, "Red Dawn" completes its four week run in the top 10 - longer than expected - with another OK showing.
What comes next: Again, the end is near, but for FilmDistrict, a much better result than "Playing for Keeps."
10. Silver Linings Playbook (Weinstein) - Week 5; Last weekend: #11
$2,084,000 (-4%) in 371 theaters (unchanged); PSA: $5,617; Cumulative: $16,954,000
Will slow and steady win the race? The small fall-off this weekend - particularly rare for this time of time - got SLP into the top ten with the same small number of theaters it has played at for four weeks now. With a strong week in awards and nominations, this keeps the film positioned for continued playoff through the holiday.
What comes next: Grosses, even it is stays at close to this number of theaters, should grow starting on Christmas Day, then accumulated word of mouth and a planned major expansion playing off Oscar nominations next month is expected to help its award chances rise just at the right time.
From boxoffice.com
Warner's The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey debuted in first place this weekend with an estimated $84.78 million. In the process the film set a new record for the largest December opening weekend performance on record by topping the $77.21 million debut of 2007's I Am Legend. However, it should be noted that The Hobbit was unable to set a new record when adjusting for ticket price inflation. 2003's The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King, which opened with $72.63 million in unadjusted terms, still holds that mark with an adjusted figure of $95.6 million (and that was after opening on a Wednesday and without the advantage of higher priced 3D admissions).
The Hobbit was off to a very strong midnight start of $13.0 million on Friday, but didn't display the type of early holding power the Lord of the Rings films did in their respective first days of release. The Hobbit grossed $37.53 million for all of Friday, $28.15 million on Saturday and an estimated $19.10 million on Sunday. That placed the film's weekend to Friday ratio (after factoring Midnight grosses out) at 2.93 to 1. Granted they all had additional help from opening on a Wednesday, but ratios for the three Lord of the Rings films all fell within the range of 3.23 - 3.33 to 1. The early relative front-loading of The Hobbit (combined with higher ticket prices) is a sure sign that this weekend's debut was very fan driven. It will now be much more important for the film to hold up well throughout the holiday season. With not much for family audiences this month and the film being better received by audiences than it has been by critics (it earned an A rating on CinemaScore), it will have a good chance of being able to do so.
The Hobbit grossed $10.1 million from IMAX locations, which represented 11.9 percent of this weekend's take. 3D grosses represented 49 percent of this weekend's overall grosses. The film skewed towards male moviegoers (57 percent) and moviegoers over 25 (58 percent).
Rise of the Guardians finished in a distant second with an estimated $7.42 million, but was down just 29 percent from last weekend. In general, most holdovers held up well this weekend, as there were clearly moviegoers looking for an alternative to The Hobbit. Rise of the Guardians continues to be helped out by both strong word of mouth and the ongoing holiday season and has now grossed $71.36 million to date. The film continues to perform stronger internationally, where it grossed $20.1 million this weekend. With an international total of $119.4 million, the worldwide haul stands at $190.8 million for Rise of the Guardians.
Lincoln placed in third with $7.24 million. The Golden Globe nominee for Best Drama was down only 19 percent from last weekend, as it greatly stabilized this weekend thanks in part to expanding into additional 271 locations. Lincoln has grossed $107.90 million to date, which makes it the 15th film directed by Steven Spielberg to gross at least $100 million domestically (without taking into account ticket price inflation).
Skyfall was down 35 percent and three spots from last weekend to take fourth with an estimated $7.0 million. The blockbuster 23rd installment of the James Bond franchise has now grossed $272.37 million to date, which currently ranks the film as the fifth highest grossing release of 2012 domestically.
Studio Weekend Estimates (Domestic) Fri, Dec. 14 - Sun, Dec. 16
| 1 | The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey | $84,775,000 | -- | 4,045 | -- | $20,958 | $84,775,000 | 1 | Warner Bros. / New Line |
| 2 | Rise of The Guardians | $7,420,000 | -29% | 3,387 | -252 | $2,191 | $71,361,823 | 4 | Paramount / DreamWorks |
| 3 | Lincoln | $7,244,000 | -19% | 2,285 | 271 | $3,170 | $107,898,187 | 6 | Disney / DreamWorks |
| 4 | Skyfall | $7,000,000 | -35% | 2,924 | -477 | $2,394 | $272,366,063 | 6 | Sony / Columbia |
| 5 | Life of Pi | $5,400,000 | -35% | 2,548 | -398 | $2,119 | $69,559,406 | 4 | Fox |
| 6 | The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn - Part 2 | $5,175,000 | -43% | 3,042 | -604 | $1,701 | $276,865,069 | 5 | Lionsgate / Summit |
| 7 | Wreck-It Ralph | $3,273,000 | -33% | 2,249 | -497 | $1,455 | $168,778,549 | 7 | Disney |
| 8 | Playing For Keeps (2012) | $3,247,000 | -44% | 2,840 | 3 | $1,143 | $10,838,092 | 2 | FilmDistrict |
| 9 | Red Dawn (2012) | $2,394,000 | -43% | 2,250 | -504 | $1,064 | $40,889,423 | 4 | FilmDistrict |
| 10 | Flight | $1,940,000 | -38% | 1,823 | -608 | $1,064 | $89,448,038 | 7 | Paramount |
| 11 | Killing Them Softly | $1,000,000 | -64% | 1,427 | -997 | $701 | $14,132,305 | 3 | Weinstein Company |
From Deadline
In North America, the film is playing in 4,045 theaters, a record number for December. That includes 3,160 3D theaters and 461 theaters in the 48 frames-per-second format. Overseas, The Hobbit is opening in 55 territories on approximately 17,000 screens this weekend (excluding Australia, China and Russia). The pic scored a record opening in New Zealand where it was filmed and which is Jackson’s native country, marking the biggest non-holiday debut for a Wednesday.
The Hobbit was digitally re-mastered into IMAX 3D format and a select number of IMAX theatres will be presenting the pic using a higher frame rate (HFR) - presenting the picture in 48 frames per second (fps) which is closer to what the human eye actually sees. This is twice the rate of the standard 24 fps, which is the current format in cinemas worldwide. This use of HFR 3D is the first use of this method in a major motion picture release.
1. The Hobbit: Unexpected Journey (MGM/WB) NEW [Runs 4,045] PG13
Friday $37.5M, Saturday $28.1M, Weekend $84.8M
2. Skyfall (Eon/MGM/Sony) Week 6 [Runs 2,924] PG13
Friday $1.8M, Saturday $3.3M, Weekend $7.0M, Cume $272.4M
3. Rise Of The Guardian (DWA/Par) Week 4 [Runs 3,387] PG
Friday $1.5M, Saturday $3.3M, Weekend $7.0M, Cume $71.0M
4. Lincoln (DreamWorks/Fox/Disney) Week 6 [Runs 2,285] PG13
Friday $1.9M, Saturday $3.0M, Weekend $6.7M, Cume $107.7M
5. Life Of Pi (Fox) Week 4 [Runs 2,548] PG
Friday $1.4M, Saturday $2.4M, Weekend $5.4M, Cume $69.5M
6. Breaking Dawn Part 2 (Summit/Lionsgate) Week 5 [Runs 3,042] PG13
Friday $1.4M, Saturday $2.1M, Weekend $4.8M, Cume $276.5M
7. Wreck-It Ralph (Disney) Week 7 [Runs 2,249]PG
Friday $702K, Saturday $1.5M, Weekend $3.1M, Cume $168.6M
8. Playing For Keeps (Millenium/FilmDistrict) Week 2 [Runs 2,840] PG13
Friday $1.0K, Saturday $1.3M, Weekend $3.0M (-48%), Cume $10.6M
9. Red Dawn (MGM/FilmDistrict) Week 4 [Runs 2,250] PG13
Friday $698K, Saturday $1.1M, Weekend $2.4M, Cume $40.9M
10. Silver Linings Playbook (Weinstein) Week 5 [Runs 371] R
Friday $588K, Saturday $950K, Weekend $2.0M, Cume $16.9M


