Saturday, March 2, 2013

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Box Office: 'Jack The Giant Slayer' Barely Climbs Beanstalk To Number One

Box Office by Gabe Toro
March 3, 2013 12:50 PM

 
The writing was on the wall as soon as director Bryan Singer retreated to the “X-Men” franchise for next year’s “X-Men: Days Of Future Past.” “Jack The Giant Slayer” was destined to be a money-loser, looking like just another post-”Alice In Wonderland” fantasy epic but costing somewhere in the vicinity of an improbable $200 million. With Warner Bros. putting out a quiet ad campaign for the film, scrimping money off the ad budget was the only way to save face: 'Jack' is poised to take a major bath this weekend, coming in under the minimum $30 million the studio was hoping for.Originally conceived as a D.J. Caruso project (whatever happened to that guy, asked no one), “Jack The Giant Killer,” as it was originally known, was meant to be a darker retelling of the popular fantasy. Somewhere along the line, Singer’s involvement led to a more traditional, family-friendly approach. The problem was that some people in the production didn’t get the memo, resulting in a film that feels commercially schizophrenic. There’s the colorful high adventure save-the-princess element for the kids, but there's also gnarly giant monsters, CG creations with cartoonish appearances who nonetheless engaged in some heavily PG-13 medieval throw downs. Classic tweener problem: too violent for the kiddies, too ridiculous for the teens, and with nothing of interest to adults.
Maybe the project was simply too old-fashioned. No matter what was the case, we knew this was going to have a basic structure dictated by a giant CGI beanstalk. The heroes will climb up. They’ll fight the giants. They’ll escape. Except the giants will probably follow them down, because what else could they do? Not a lot of narrative complexity, and this likely felt like something audiences had seen before. Print ads established the hook being tiny Jack (Nicholas Hoult) contrasted with a towering giant, which used to be a novelty but is now something seen in almost all fantasy films. How spoiled we are that the sight of towering CGI giants is now passé?The plus side is that star Hoult has had two straight $20 million plus opening weekends within a month, the last project being “Warm Bodies.” He doesn’t deserve to be the fall guy for this, even if these piddling 'Jack' numbers were boosted by 3D and IMAX prices. Though perhaps Warner Bros. might want to distance themselves from Singer: after this and “Superman Returns,” that’s two straight Legendary Films projects with Singer that have underperformed at the studio. Singer’s lucky to have the safety parachute that is “X-Men”: he’s one more mismanaged budget away from falling back into the indie world. And after this year‘s “Gangster Squad,“ “Bullet To The Head” and “Beautiful Creatures,” Warner Bros. might have to rethink some of their upcoming ad campaigns, particularly as 'Jack' prepares to be pummeled by next weekend’s “Oz The Great And Powerful.”
Last year we already had a raft of early year hits, but in 2013, we pretty much have “Identity Thief.” The picture crossed $100 million with ease, with some of the strongest audience retention numbers in the top ten, suggesting world of mouth is definitely in play. Universal played this thing like pros, and this is now director Seth Gordon’s third straight $100 million domestic grosser, putting him in the catbird seat for any big comedy in the industry. Which is unfortunate, if you’ve seen “Four Christmases,” “Horrible Bosses” or “Identity Thief,” but money talks louder than us. “21 And Over” was being released on the exact same weekend as last year’s “Project X” but lightning didn’t strike twice, and this opening is less than half of that found footage hit. You can only boast the same associations before it starts becoming nakedly opportunistic -- “Project X” was pushed as being produced by Todd Phillips, director of “The Hangover.” “21 And Over” not only pulled a similar stunt, as it was written and directed by the original “The Hangover” writers, but it also very much looked like “Hangover Jr.” with its plot focused on a night of drunken debauchery centered around a missing friend. Perhaps too many people thought the movie was supposed to be called “Jeff Chang,” which was gratuitously repeated throughout the ads to the point of obscuring the film’s generic title.
Audiences likely crossed their arms in frustration, citing, “I thought LAST TIME it was supposed to be the last exorcism!” “The Last Exorcism Part II” played up to its entirely cynical existence by opening to less than half of the first film’s gross. Even though it’s a gimmick highly familiar to audiences by now, found footage remains a way to visually distinguish your film to audiences. By contrast, this 'Part II' was conventionally shot, putting greater pressure on the visuals during the ads to wow moviegoers. It didn’t work. While the film was an independent pickup from CBS Films, this is well below expectations.Producing modest second weekend results was “Snitch,” which held steady after a quiet debut. The Dwayne Johnson thriller only cost $14 million, and a small ad budget suggests this is going to turn a modest profit. Generic star-centric vehicles like this also have solid appeal on DVD, and overseas, Johnson’s “Fast Five” and “Journey 2: The Mysterious Island” both had warmer receptions than they did stateside. In other words, as modest as the final domestic gross may be (likely $40 million or so), this cements Johnson as a legit A-List presence, a status which should only be confirmed by the upcoming “G.I. Joe: Retaliation.”

Surprisingly, the big winners of this year’s Valentine’s Day throw down appear to be “Safe Haven” and “Escape From Planet Earth.” The former, a Nicholas Sparks joint, played strong with its core audience and has managed respectable drops each weekend, suggesting a final tally close to $70 million. 'Planet Earth' came in cheap for a CG-toon, and was dumped into theaters with little marketing. Given that substandard treatment, potentially finishing at $60 million is a solid return, given that CG-kid flicks are routinely huge overseas and on DVD. Meanwhile, that date’s other release mate was “A Good Day To Die Hard,” which has retreated heavily after a decent opening weekend. Internationally, it should perform similar to its predecessor “Live Free Or Die Hard,” but domestically, it looks like it’s going to have to limp to match the lowest grossing film in the series, the $86 million original “Die Hard.” That was 27 years ago, by the way. Man, box office is tough all over.
Dark Skies” collapsed to the bottom of the top ten, as most horror films tend to do. At least it was able to finish above “Phantom.” Not sure what’s going on when a submarine thriller with a decent cast including Ed Harris and David Duchovny gets put on 1,118 screens and sees almost zero promotion. With such a wide release, the worst case scenario should be $2-$4 million, and yet “Phantom” is going to finish its first weekend with less than half a million. If a movie is released and bombs but no one sees it, did it exist? Yes, but you can’t tell: it’s a “Phantom”!Most of the Oscar-nominated films had run their course, so there weren’t any major bumps to be had by the films honored during last week’s ceremony. “Silver Linings Playbook” is the one film in that group still in the widest release, and it held steady just as it has the last few weeks, a feat that’s pretty unprecedented; the last wide-release film to hold steady like this with either weekend growths or less-than-10% drops is probably... what, “Titanic”? 'Playbook' won’t reach those heights, but there’s a good chance it could become the highest-grossing Best Picture release stateside if it continues this pattern for a few more weeks -- “Lincoln” is a considerable distance ahead, however. Also receiving a 49% boost was “Life of Pi” with $2.4 million outside of the top ten, bringing its domestic total to $117 million, helping the hit inch closer to $600 million worldwide. And “Argo” is on DVD already, but somehow it still pulled in $2.1 million at 985 locations, bringing the domestic total to $133 million.
1. Jack The Profit Slayer (Warner Bros.) - $28 million
2. Identity Thief (Universal) - $9.7 million ($107 mil.)3. Lil’ Hangover (Relativity) - $9 million4. We Left Out One Exorcism (CBS Films) - $8 million5. Snitch (Lionsgate/Summit) - $7.7 million ($24.4 mil.)6. Safe Haven (Relativity) - $6.3 million ($57 mil.)7. Escape From Planet Earth (The Weinstein Company) - $6.2 million ($43.2 mil.)8. Silly Whining Playbook  (The Weinstein Company) - $5.9 million ($115.5 mil.)9. A Good Day To Hold Hands And Say Nice Things About Each Other (Fox) - $4.5 million ($59.6 mil.)10. Dark Skies (The Weinstein Company/Dimension) - $3.5 million ($13.4 mil.)




Deadline

Big Budget ‘Jack The Giant Slayer’ Bombs On Bad Weekend For All New Releases

By NIKKI FINKE, Editor in Chief |

SATURDAY PM, 2ND UPDATE: I’m traveling but will keep you posted about box office. In a word, it’s ugly. Maybe that really lousy Academy Awards show turned off America to the movies. “It’s a bad weekend across the board,” a studio exec warns while one more describes, ”Another soft weekend.” Total filmgoing of $100M looks to be a whopping -37% less than last year with every single new release underperforming tracking by a wide margin. This is usually a good time to release family fare, and even more so now because there’s next-to-nothing in the multiplex. That said, Warner Bros knew well before this weekend that Bryan Singer‘s 3D Jack The Giant Slayer (3,525 theaters, including 317 IMAX screens) was tracking very soft domestically and turning into major trouble. All those effects drove the cost to a ridiculously expensive $200 million shared with Legendary Pictures and New Line. Now it looks like this family fare with no stars (Nicholas Hoult who?) may only open to $26M – far less than the $30M hoped for by the studio which is still too low given the high cost. It’ll do a miserable 2X multiple even with a solid ‘B+’ CinemaScore. And, remember, Friday’s figure of $7.7M was inflated by Thursday 10 PM/Friday midnight showings of $400K. Saturday’s $12.2M was a +60% improvement over Friday but still not good enough.
This bomb continues what has been a disastrous beginning of the year for Warner Bros (despite its Best Picture Oscar win for Ben Affleck’s Argo). Jack is the studio’s 4th straight box office dud – beginning with Gangster Squad in January and continuing through an abysmal February with Bullet To The Head and Beautiful Creatures.  Upcoming The Incredible Burt Wonderstone isn’t likely to deliver, either. By May, the studio’s slate should deliver big grosses again starting with The Great Gatsby, The Hangover Part III, and the hotly anticipated Man Of Steel which by many accounts overdelivers. (That’s the buzz following its first internal screening.) But given Jack‘s jacked-up pricetag, not even big expectations abroad can save it – even though pic has opened to what the studio says are “very strong results” in Asia. Already insider autopsy reports are blaming Singer and the script by Darren Lemke, Christopher McQuarrie and Dan Studney for the lack of edge in this entirely familiar fairy tale twist on the classic Jack And The Beanstalk battle into a PG-13 effects extravaganza. Jeez, enough with this fairy tale crap, puh-leeze. “Problem is it plays like a 12-and-under pic. Everybody’s at fault. It’s just not a great movie.” Shot by Singer in 2011, it originally was set to open in the heart of Summer 2012 (June 15) under the title Jack The Giant Killer. Then it was pushed back to March 22, and shifted again to March 1 where it’s coming out only a week ahead of the Disney juggernaut, Oz, The Great And Powerful.
If Relativity’s cheap frat comedy 21 And Over (2,771 theaters) looks like Hangover for the college crowd with a ‘B’ CinemaScore – it is. It was scripted by Hangover writers Jon Lucas and Scott Moore. The studio is so embarrassed it’s not even publicizing the pic with me. It’ll make 1/3 what Hollywood expected – under $10M - and those were low expectations to begin with. Same with The Last Exorcism Part II (2,700 theaters), yet another unnecessary low-budget PG-13 horror movie and not even an audience pleaser judging by the ‘C-’ CinemaScore. Good thing CBS Films only paid a few million dollars for the movie. Marketing focus was kept on females under 25 and genre fans influenced by producer Eli Roth receiving a “Presented By” credit above the film’s title. (Who used to find Roth promising? No more…) Last and least, RCR Media’s thriller Phantom (1,118 theaters) looks to be a dreadful debut and won’t even exceed $500K.
Meanwhile, Universal’s Melissa McCarthy-Jason Bateman frenemies comedy Identity Thief now becomes the first 2013 pic to break $100M. And Best Picture winner Argo looks in line for a +17% Oscar bump – about half the usual +35%.


Here’s the Top Ten based on weekend estimates:
1. Jack The Giant Slayer 3D (Legendary/Warner Bros) NEW [Runs 3,525] PG13
Friday $7.6M, Saturday $12.2M, Weekend $26.0M
2. Identity Thief (Universal) Week 4 (Runs 3,230) R
Friday $2.7M, Saturday$4.2M, Weekend $9.7M, Cume $107.5M
3. 21 And Over (Relativity) NEW [Runs 2,771] R
Friday $3.3M, Saturday $3.6M, Weekend $9.1M
4. The Last Exorcism Part II (CBS Films) NEW [Runs 2,700] PG13
Friday $3.2M, Saturday $3.2M, Weekend $7.9M

5. Snitch (Summit/Lionsgate) Week 2 [Runs 2,511] PG13
Friday $2.1M, Saturday $3.5M, Weekend $7.5M (-43%), Cume $24.2M
6. Escape From Planet Earth 3D (Weinstein) Week 3 [Runs 3,110] PG
Friday $1.3M, Saturday $3.3M, Weekend $6.6M, Cume $43.1M
7. Safe Haven (Relativity) Week 3 [Runs 2,951] PG13
Friday $2.0M, Saturday $2.9M, Weekend $6.2M, Cume $57.0M
8. Silver Linings Playbook (Weinstein) Week 16 [Runs 1,836] R
Friday $1.5M, Saturday $2.7M, Weekend $5.6M, Cume $115.2M
9. A Good Day To Die Hard (Fox) Week 3 [Runs 2,589] R
Friday $1.1M, Saturday $2.1M, Weekend $4.4M, Cume $59.5M
10. Dark Skies (Weinstein) Week 2 [Runs 2,313] PG13
Friday $1.0M, Saturday $1.6M, Weekend $3.5M, Cume $13.4M


THR

Box Office Report: 'Jack the Giant Slayer' Wipes Out on Friday, May Not Hit $25 Million


Jack The Giant Slayer McGregor on Beanstalk - H 2013
Warner Bros.

Hollywood is bracing for another down weekend as new entries "21 and Over" and "Last Exorcism Part II" also turn in soft performances, while independent thriler "Phantom" is looking at one of the worst openings of all time.

New Line and Legendary Pictures are bracing for a tough weekend after a poor showing by 3D tentpole Jack and the Giant Slayer at the Friday box office.
From Bryan Singer, Jack earned a disappointing $7.7 million for a projected weekend opening in the $24 million to $25 million range. That's not enough considering the movie cost nearly $300 million, including a $195 production budget. Last year, Battleship -- costing in the neighborhood of Jack -- debuted to $8.8 million on Friday for a $25.5 million weekend.
REVIEW: Jack the Giant Slayer
New Line and parent company Warner Bros. are hoping that Jack, loosely based on the classic British story Jack and the Beanstalk, picks up the pace on Saturday as families become available. Although it is rated PG, Warners believes the 3D event pic is well suited for older kids.
Jack, starring Nicholas Hoult in the title role, earned a B+ CinemaScore.
New Line and its parent company Warner Bros. already are counting on strong international business to make up for any deficit in North America. Their hopes are being fulfilled so far in seven Asian markets where Jack opened on Thursday, grossing a total of $2.5 million, ahead of Wrath of the Titans ($2.1 million) and Journey 2: Mysterious Island ($1.3 million), both of which were successes.
STORY: 'Jack the Giant Slayer' Cast on the Challenges of Motion Capture
Moviegoing was soft overall on Friday, with new entries 21 & Over and The Last Exorcism Part II placing No. 2 and No. 3, respectively, with a modest $3.4 million and $3.3 million. Each is expected to post gross in the $8 million range for the weekend.
New independent thriller Phantom, from RCR, is only expected to open to a dismal $500,000, one of the worst openings of all time.
Universal's Identity Thief could beat both films and rise to No. 2 for the weekend. On Friday, the Melissa McCarthy-Jason Bateman comedy became the first movie of the year to cross $100 million.